Epping ‘eck!

True to form, the BBC reported the far Right riot in Epping last week, in which they attacked a peaceful anti racist demonstration while seeking to force the closure of an Asylum seekers hotel, on the same lines as the riots last year which tried to burn them down, as a “two sides” issue, even though their pictures clearly showed the far Right mob throwing bricks and bottles at a group of Stand Up to Racism people who were simply holding placards.

The disconnect between the words and images could not have been clearer..

Nick the Pope! “Fundamental British Values” in action

On reading about the case in which armed police in Canterbury threatened a woman with arrest under the Terrorism Act for holding a Palestinian flag and holding signs saying “Free Gaza” and “Israel is committing genocide” – because her placard might be “reasonably interpreted” as expressing an “opinion or belief that is supportive of a proscribed organisation” and that “mentioning freedom of Gaza, Israel, genocide, all of that all comes under proscribed groups, which are terror groups that have been dictated by the government,” and that the phrase “Free Gaza” is “supportive of Palestine Action” – my daughter said “be careful what you write on your Blog Dad.”

Seeing that the Pope has just called for an end end to the barbarity in Gaza, I thought I’d draw something instead.

The question in all of this is whether this kind of insane over reach is an unintentional consequence of panic in the Home Office, faced with a mass movement that keeps on coming, keeps saying “we see you” and exposes a core ally as a genocidal state, and therefore puts into question the nature of our own state; or it is a deliberate attempt to freeze and intimidate that movement, while retaining plausible deniability. Was the armed Plod who threatened arrest just dimly applying his own limited understanding of the situation and relying on his tried and tested repressive instincts, or was he kite flying under instruction? Lets see how far we can get away with this?

Either way, it is backfiring. “Democracy” let us not forget, is supposed to be a “Fundamental British Value”. And, as the policeman put it so well, “the government has dictated that”.

Kaiser Franz solves a problem.

Emperor Franz Josef V, sighed, pulled on his weaved mutton chop whiskers – now Imperial regalia – and twisted the dial on his wireless to shift the channel from Das Lichtprogramm – playing its usual diet of whirling Waltzes by Johan Strauss the very, very, very much younger, as if to prove that music, like History, had nowhere to go but interminable circles – over to Der Heimat- Service for the latest reports from Today in Parliament.

There was something oddly comforting about these reports. Like all the Sturm and Drang of the Shipping Forecast: all those rising squalls and Force Ten Gales, that menacing low visibility in Sea areas with comfortingly obscure and poetic names – Varangian, Black, Dogged, Austrian Bight, Trieste, Italian Sea, Palermo automatic lighthouse weather station – full of sound and fury and signifying nothing, to him, more than how much more comfortable it was to be sitting by the fire with a cup of tea and a crumpet.

Reports from the Diet were always incomprehensible. All the way across the Greater Austro-Hungarian – Balkan Empire, from Bavaria in the West to the Caspian Sea in the East and Naples in the South, members of the diet were allowed to make speeches in their own languages; on the proviso that no translations were allowed. This meant that members could sound off in full fury, to be approvingly written up in the local papers at home, blaming everyone else for local problems, securing their continuous re election as local champions – safe in the knowledge that no one else in the Empire, unless they understood Slovak, or Azeri, or Sicilian dialect, would have a clue what they were saying, so everyone could remain friends. All the broadcasts were also in the original languages, so everyone could tune into their own bit and be reassured that their worries were being expressed, if not heard. Thus, peace and harmony could be assured, as a grievance carefully nurtured, with no hope of resolution, is a soothing balm for everyone who enjoys suffering from it and being able to complain about it. If these problems were to be resolved, people would be lost. They wouldn’t know who they were any more.

Kaiser Franz scratched idly at his paunch, feeling a bit sleepy, when the newsflash he had been waiting for came up right on time. A solemn burst of Bruckner – titanic, overwhelming, monumental and oddly static, like the Empire itself – was followed by an announcer sounding even more po faced than usual. The troublesome, playboy heir apparent, Archduke Ferdy, had met with an unfortunate accident while trying to act out the bow flight scene from Titanic on the 3:30 Zeppelin from Zagreb to Odesa while drunk (and drugged too, though he knew it not) to be followed by an Inquiry and four days of official mourning – because there was no point in overdoing it – announced by the Prime Minister, in his familiar flat nasal tone; the one that sounds a bit like he’s been chewing cardboard most of his life. Satisfied that Plan B, with its aerodrome arson squad and threat of high profile collateral damage (and all the awkward questions that go with it) had not been necessary, the Kaiser chuckled to himself and put Zadok the Priest on his record player.

May the King live, may the king live, may the king live FOREVER, Alleluhia, Alleluhia, Alleluhia, Amen…

What Empire looks like – Overseas Military bases in 2025

The new report on overseas military bases from worldbeyonwar.org makes it very clear that the United States not only has 70% of them, and that it has them dug into 95 different countries all around the world, but also that the lions share of the remainder are run by direct US allies like the UK and Turkiye.

All the countries that are direct allies of the US, or have a security arrangement with them, are coloured in varying shades of blue in the graph above.

Worth bearing in mind when people here talk about rising threats and “deadly quartets”.

Kinder Surprises

A toddler, in the sort of pink for girls very popular with Eastern european families, is being pushed along past the park in her heavy duty pushchair. Her arms are determinedly folded, a fierce frown and pouted lips, like a minature Mussolini en route to his balcony.

A red faced little boy wearing spiderman pyjama’s and crying forcefully is walked back to the bus stop by his Mum, where his half a dozen siblings are standing about – all about the same size with the same bullet headed haircuts – where he promptly belts his brother in the face. The brother starts crying, as well he might. “Spiderman” looks satisfied for a moment, then cries even more fiercely, to maintain a parity of percieved pain.

On the Thameslink train heading for Farringdon a Scottish family with two small children gamefully keep them entertained. The Dad holds the toddler up by the doors and shows him sights out of the window, adverts, anything to keep him interested. The Mum reads a story to the litttle girl, who sometimes looks at the book, sometimes out of the window, following it intermittently. One of the main characters in the book is a dog called “tramp” and, at one point, she pronounces it as “Trump” and laughs.

Syria killings

Since December last year, more than 15,000 Palestinians have been killed in Gaza; more than half of that since Israel collapsed the ceasefire in March.

About half as many have been killed in Syria since the HTS came to power on December 8th last year. At least 7,670, mainly civilians, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights (SOHR). This includes more than 2,130 “extrajudicial executions” and “identity-based killings.”

Given the sheer continuous ferocity of the IDF assualt on Gaza, the total for Syria is alarming.

SOHR – which relies on a network of sources across Syria – documented “the killing of 7,670 people across Syria from December 8, 2024, to June 6, 2025,” adding that this number comprises “5,784 civilians, including 306 children and 422 women.”

The UK-based war monitor warned that “this grim toll is a result of ongoing violence and violations by local and external parties, alongside widespread security chaos,” and reflects “the fragility of the security situation and the increasing danger to the most vulnerable constituents of society.”

SOHR further pointed to what it said was an “escalation of extrajudicial executions and identity-based killings,” noting that it had documented 2,133 of such killings that were “committed in brutal ways.”

According to SOHR documentation, civilians constituted 75.4 percent of the total fatalities during these six months, while non-civilians accounted for 24.6 percent.

Sections of the Left in the UK welcomed the overthrow of the Assad government in December as a “liberation”. The reports above, and the HTS regime’s current discussions with Israel on possible partition of Lebanon, which appear to be animated by the United States, with with the prospect of Syria occupying the North of the country as far as the Med at Tripoli and occupying the Bekaa valley to act as pressure from the North to help secure Israel’s Northern border; should put that sharply into question in their own minds.

Israel is now indicating, with bombs, that it is far from reliant on such a deal and may simply want to hold hard to the Syrian territory it has occupied since the fall of Assad.

Close your eyes and you could be in Paris…

Or perhaps not. Today’s busker in the High Street is a woman playing an accordion. Slightly jazzy, fragments of a recognisable tune, skidded away from and improvised around, so the echoes are hard to identify. I’m half way down George Street before I realise its Zippety Doo Dah.

On the way back I give her a coin and said that her music makes you want to get out some spoons, clack along and dance; and asked if the buskers who are now pretty regular on that spot have to book it. It turns out that, apart from Central London pitches and a few suburbs, busking is unregulated. People just turn up. She said it can be a bit awkward if several come at once. She covers a lot of local centres, likes doing Corringham.

I ask, rather shyly, if she could play Captain Pugwash, which might spread a little happiness, but she says something at the same time and plays something else as I walk off. I’m halfway to the War Memorial before I realised its Thoroughly Modern Milly.

This England (and Wales) – Summer 2025

In the 1960s the New Statesman used to have a short column of clips from right wing papers that illustrated the absurdity of their view of the world called “This England” (from John of Gaunt’s dying speech in Richard II; you know “This royal throne of kings, this sceptered isle, this earth of majesty, this seat of Mars…This blessed plot, this earth, this realm, this England”, the sort of pompous pontification that cued his nephew the King to remark, on hearing that he was dying, “Come, gentlemen, let’s all go visit him: Pray God we may make haste, and come too late!”

I was reminded of that in recent weeks by several parts of articles in the Guardian that I had to read twice to make sure that the point that I was reading really did say what it did; usually dropped in and passed on without comment; as though it were perfectly sensible, nothing to be bothered about.

Housing

The extra money (for affordable housing in the Spending Review) will help housing associations to buy up thousands of new units which have already been built by private developers as part of their affordable housing commitments, but which are sitting empty because they cannot afford them. My emphasis.

Housing projects that protect natural habitats, include public transport and divert wastewater from running ino local watercourses are deemed too expensive (by the government, as Labour’s message in the Planning and Infrastructure Bill is that the developer knows best and other considerations can take a back seat).

Prevent

Asked about the government’s counter extremism programme, Prevent, Cooper said she was “very concerned” by evidence of increasing extremism among young people. “We are seeing the counter terrorism caseload trebling in three years involving teenagers”, she said. She said there had also been a doubling of the numbers of young people being referred to Prevent since last summer. And yet…I continue to be concerned about the threshold ending up being too high and not enough Islamist extremist cases being referred to Prevent and the need to make sure more of those cases were being referred…”

Trubble at pit

These are not a quotes, simply retelling of comments from Any Answers on Radio 4 on 14/6/25. Any Answers can usually be relied upon for a rich vein of emotionally charged comments, more often than not unhinged from any knowledge of the subject being discussed. Nigel Farage’s proposal to reopen coal mines in South Wales that have been long flooded, and Blast Furnaces that have cooled solid, sparked several of these. One person thought it was a good idea in principle, but because no one local would want to do it they’d “have to import immigrants” to work in them – and that would never do. Another, in response to the same problem, argued that prisoners should be sent down the mines “like they do in America”. That’d learn ’em because, as we know, the problem with prisons is that they are “too soft”. Salt mines, unfortunately, are not available.

Legally illegal

“Britain’s decision to allow the export of F-35 fighter jet components to Israel, despite accepting they could be used in breach on international law in Gaza, was lawful, London’s High Court has ruled.”

Majority in Ukraine want peace – not to be forced to fight on.

The latest opinion poll by Janus Institute for Strategic Studies and Forecasts and the SOCIS Center for Social and Marketing Research, both Kyiv-based pollsters shows that

  • 56 percent of Ukrainians would agree to a compromise peace involving giving up land in exchange for the end of the conflict.
  • 16.6 percent would agree to a freeze along the current front lines.
  • Only 12.8 percent want Kyiv to fight until it wins back the 1991 borders.

This continues the shift in opinion shown in Gallup polls between 2022 and 2024, which showed that

  • the number of people agreeing that Ukraine should seek a negotiated end to the war as soon as possible rose from 22% in 2022 to 27% in 2023 and almost doubled to 52% in 2024.
  • the number agreeing that Ukraine should continue fighting until it wins the war fell from 73% in 2022 to 63% in 2023 and sharply down to 38% in 2024.

The attempt by the Ukrainian oligarchy and NATO to keep fighting now only has minority support in the Ukrainian population.

Those who claim to be in solidarity with “Ukraine” should ask themselves, in this context, who they are in soldarity with – the majority of the Ukrianian people, who want a negoitiated peace as soon as possible, or the oligarchy, and NATO, who, in the absence of any serious prospect of winning, want to drag the war on as long as possible for fear of the consequences of accepting defeat?

Trump and NATO – Europe picks up the tab

Trigger warning. This blog contains sycophancy in high places.

Those on the pro European Right like Timothy Garton Ash, and most other opinion columnists in the Guardian, even George Monbiot, who have argued that “Europe” should increase military spending to break with the US, and those on the Left who are arguing that there is now a fundamental rift between the US and its subordinate allies, should consider the following three quotes addressed to Donald Trump from former Dutch Prime Minsiter and NATO General Secretary Mark Rutte at the end of the NATO Summit.

“You are flying into another big success”

“Congratulations and thank you for your decisive action in Iran. That was truly extraordinary, and something no on else dared to do.”

“It was not easy, but we’ve got them all signed on to 5%! You will achieve something NO American president in decades could get done. Europe is going to pay in a BIG way , as they should, and it will be your win. Safe travels, and see you at his Majesty’s dinner.”

“Daddy sometimes has to use strong language.”

And these from Trump describing the 5% target as “something that no one thought possible. And they said ‘you did it, sir, you did it’. Well I don’t know if I did it…but I think I did and “a monumental win for the United States” and “a big win for Europe and for actually Western Civilisation” because Europe would be “stepping up to take more responsibility.”

So, there you have it.

Increasing military spending is giving Trump exactly what he wants.

European NATO governmnets will now seek to impoverish their populations and stunt their own development to find the resources to double militray spending.

Europe tooling up for a future continent wide confrontation with Russia gives him a free hand, with his now $1 trillion”defence” budget to prepare for military confrontation with China.

And not only does none of this undermine Trump’s push to domestic authoritarianism; it requires it at home. Proscribing Palestine Action in the UK is part of a drive to a more militarised society in which our children are dragooned into cadet corps, non violent direct action is elided with “terrorism” and Yvette Cooper’s desire to “lower the threshold” for Prevent referrals to catch more “Islamists” is aimed clearly at the mass pro Palestinian movement in an attempt to define dissent of foreign policy as “pre terrorist ideology” that can be legally harassed and crushed even more than it already is.